Jannik sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz, 01:00 on September 8: The US Open Final Classic

Analysis of Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz

Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz are turning every tournament they participate into a “two play play”, where the rest of the male tennis player almost only plays the supporting role.

Like the Big Three era, there was a controversy about the dominance that could make tennis boring, the competition between Sinner and Alcaraz was drawing the same script. They met in the final in the last four tournaments to attend – and this series will continue at the US Open. This is also the first time in the opening era, the two players encountered each other in the final of Ba Grand Slam in the same season.

The confrontation is considered to be the most fascinating now more dramatic since Wimbledon, where Jannik Sinner finally ended the losing series against Carlos Alcaraz with a victory after four sets, and ended two years of dominance of the Spanish tennis player in the tournament. However, the rematch then in the final of Cincinnati Masters did not leave many imprints, when Sinner had to give up because he was not guaranteed.

All eyes are now pouring back to the US Open final – where not only a decided title, but also the ATP throne competition. A victory will help Sinner take advantage of 3–1 in the Grand Slam finals this season, confirming its superior position.

Conversely, if Alcaraz won, the score will be balanced 2-2, as they closed last season. In addition, the winner will also become the world's number one player next week.

Sinner's physical and steel problem

History of injury and unstable physical strength is still a big question mark for Jannik Sinner, despite significant improvements in the past two years. The fact that he needs medical care for abdominal pain in the victory over Felix Auger -anssime in the semi-finals makes fans worried, especially when the opponent in the final is likely to pull the match to four or five sets.

However, the challenge has never been strange to the Italian tennis player. He has overcome a series of difficulties at this year's Grand Slam – from entering Australian Open in suspicion of hanging rackets, to Roland Garros with a limited time of competition after a three -month ban. Despite losing in the expanded French final, Sinner still woke up to be crowned at Wimbledon. Not to mention the disturbances in the support team – all proving the respectable bravery of the world's No. 1 player.

The extraordinary stability of Sinner is close to Big Three. This will be the fifth Grand Slam final that he has appeared – an achievement that besides Big Three, no other player has done. Sinner also joined the legendary group including Rod Laver, Federer, Nadal and Djokovic – who have reached the final of all four Grand Slam in the same season. He is also the youngest person to do that.

In particular, Sinner is a true “hard yard” with a series of 27 consecutive victories at the hard pitch – balancing the achievements of Novak Djokovic, and only a record 40 matches of Roger Federer. The US Open final will be Sinner's eighth hard -pitch final, starting in August, 2024.

Alcaraz – brave, comprehensive and ready to break through

Carlos Alcaraz entered the semi -final against Novak Djokovic to bring big debt after two consecutive defeats – at Paris and Australian Open. But this time, he reclaimed everything with overwhelming victory 6-4, 7-6, 6-2. Notably, Alcaraz is the first since Roger Federer (US Open 2009) defeated Djokovic in the semi -finals of a hard Grand Slam without losing any set.

Although only 22 years old, Alcaraz has owned an incredible record table, but the US Open this year marked a clear turning point. He played mature, cold and sharp – in contrast to the youthful but unstable version before.

The Spanish tennis player has not lost a set since the beginning of the tournament, and is aiming for unprecedented goals: the US Open championship without losing any set. The closest only Federer approached the target in 2015, but then collapsed before Djokovic in the final.

The impressive journey at Flushing Meadows helps Alcaraz affirm that it is a true comprehensive player – reaching the Grand Slam final on all three pitches. If crowned on Sunday, he will become the first to own many big titles in each pitch in his career.

The last time Alcaraz won the US Open was in 2022, with a world number one in the world for the winner. At that time, Alcaraz seized that opportunity by defeating Casper Ruud.

The confrontation: History and future interference

Carlos Alcaraz is leading 10-6 in direct confrontation (including friendly matches), of which he is more than 3–2 in Grand Slam and 4–3 matches in the finals.

Jannik sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz

• Select Sinner -1.5 Game: Jannik Sinner, although it is evaluated to have an easier branch, has not been able to take full advantage of it. In contrast, Alcaraz went through a harder journey – with rivals like Daniil Medvedev, Ben Shelton and especially Djokovic – but in the final with comfort and good physical condition. With superior experience and endurance in prolonged matches, Alcaraz has more confidence. However, if the weather forced the final must take place indoors (due to rain in New York), the balance may be inclined to Sinner – a very good player on the indoor field and is able to solve the match in three or four sets, which is very important to his physical strength.
• Select less than 41.5 games: If Sinner won this match, it would most likely be a victory in 4 sets, just like at Wimbledon recently. Because, the ability to resolve the match early of the Italian player is always very respectable. On the hard yard, Sinner often does this better than Alcaraz.

Predict: Jannik Sinner 3-1 Carlos Alcaraz